Brianland

This makes an excellent “program” to print out for the evening’s festivities . . .  🙂

(all times Eastern;  all predictions as of Saturday, Nov. 1st, 2008)

And before you dive in   — click here http://thatradio.podhoster.com/index.php?sid=1399

and listen to a radio show about the election while you’re reading!  What fun!

7:00 – – 6 states — The Bellwethers — doing their hit “Georgia & Indiana” — If McCain is doing worse than winning by 3%, he’s in trouble.  If McCain’s winning by 8% or better, it’s NOT going to be a full blow-out night.

Dems (16) – – Virginia 13, Vermont 3

Repubs (42) – – Georgia 15, Indiana 11, South Carolina 8, Kentucky 8

7:30 – – 2 states

Dems (20)  – – Ohio 20   (20 + 16 = 36)

Repubs (5) – –  West Virginia 5

8:00 – – 16 states – – Ahoy Missouri!    🙂  They’ve only voted correctly for the winner in every Presidential election for the last hundred freakin’ years (except, like, once).

Dems (138) – – Florida 27, Pennsylvania 21, Illinois 21, New Jersey 15, Massachusetts 12, Missouri 11 (but will be too-close-to-call until Way-later), Maryland 10, Connecticuit 7, Maine 4, New Hampshire 4, Delaware 3, D.C. 3  . . . . . . (16 + 20 + 138 = 174)

Repubs (33) – – Tennessee 11, Alabama 9, Oklahoma 7, Mississippi 6

8:30 – –  2 states

Dems: (15) – – North Carolina 15   (16 + 20 + 138 + 15 = 189)

Repubs: (6)  – – Arkansas 6

9:00  – –  14 states – – Do the networks call it at 9:00:01? Or do they keep their powder dry till around 10?  

Dems:  (86)  – – New York 31, Michigan 17, Minnesota 10, Wisconsin 10, Colorado 9, New Mexico 5, Rhode Island 4    (86 + 189 = 275)

Repubs:  (70) Texas 34, Arizona 10, Louisiana 9, Kansas 6, Nebraska 5, South Dakota 3, Wyoming 3

10:00 – – 5 states – – Iowa could put Obama over 270.  Also, Brian’s late-steal state to watch is Montana.

Dems: (15) Iowa 7, Nevada 5, North Dakota 3   (275 + 15 = 290)

Repubs:  (8)  Utah 5, Montana 3

11:00 – – 5 states — By in here we’ll be getting McCain’s concession speech. 

Dems:  (77) California 55, Washington 11, Oregon 7, Hawaii 4  (290 + 77 = 367)

Repubs:  (4)  Idaho 4

Roughly between 11PM and midnight will be Obama’s historic victory speech from Grant Park in Chicago.

= = = = = =

The only three additional states that COULD go Obama if it was more of a blow-out:

Indiana 11, Georgia 15, and Montana 3 — bringing Obama up to 396.

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 For one of the most historic events in American history — check out my Obama Inauguration Adventures.

For how Woodstock promoter Michael Lang used my reports in his book — check out how Obama’s Inauguration was like Woodstock.

For an account of the most jubilant night in the history of New York — check the Election Night 2008 Adventure. 

For a night in New York that started out just as joyous — check out the Election Night 2004 Adventure.

For the kind of creations that got us across the historic finish line — check out my poem and video for Where Wayward Jekylls Hyde.

For an on-the-campaign-trail adventure — check out the physical altercation I was in the middle of with Al Franken at a Howard Dean rally in ’04.

For my tribute to a great political reporter — check out my Tim Russert tribute.

For a full listing of great reporters and news sources — check out my Political Sources Primer.

For how well these sources work — check out my 2012 election predictions.

… or here’s the 2008 projections — in both, I’m over 98% correct.  😉

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Brian Hassett  — karmacoupon@gmail.com

Brian Hassett .com