Here’s the results ahead of time …
First called Tuesday, Sept. 25th, 2012 (6 weeks out 😉 )
The only 2 states I flipped since then are in red.
| Dems | Repubs | |
| Cali — 55 |
Texas — 38 |
|
| NY — 29 |
FL — 29 |
|
| PA — 20 |
GA — 16 |
|
| IL — 20 |
NC — 15 |
|
| Ohio — 18 |
TN — 11 |
|
| Mich — 16 |
AZ — 11 |
|
| NJ — 14 |
Indy — 11 |
|
| VA — 13 |
Missouri — 10 |
|
| Wash — 12 |
SC — 9 |
|
| Mass — 11 |
Alabama — 9 |
|
| Maryland — 10 |
Louisiana – 8 |
|
|
Wisc. — 10 |
Kentucky — 8 |
|
| Minn — 10 |
OK — 7 |
|
| CO — 9 |
Mississippi – 6 |
|
| Oregon — 7 |
Ark — 6 |
|
| CT — 7 |
Kansas — 6 |
|
| NV — 6 |
Utah — 6 |
|
| Iowa — 6 |
West V — 5 |
|
| New Mex — 5 |
Nebraska — 5 |
|
| Hawaii — 4 |
Idaho — 4 |
|
| Maine — 4 |
Wyoming — 3 |
|
| RI — 4 |
Alaska — 3 |
|
| NH — 4 |
Montana — 3 |
|
| Vermont — 3 |
ND — 3 |
|
| Delaware — 3 |
SD — 3 |
|
| DC — 3 | ||
|
Final Results: |
||
|
303 |
(538) |
235 |
| Sept. 25th prediction: | ||
|
347 |
191 |
.
367 – to – 171 — my electoral college prediction before the 2008 election.
365 – to – 173 — the final result of the 2008 election. 😉
P.S. — This election, the swing districts in both (proportional) Nebraska and Maine will all go with the winner of the state.
at the first Obama inauguration.
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For one of the most historic events in American history — check out my Obama Inauguration Adventures.
For how Woodstock promoter Michael Lang used my reports in his book — check out how Obama’s Inauguration was like Woodstock.
For an account of the most jubilant night in the history of New York — check the Election Night 2008 Adventure.
For a night in New York that started out just as joyous — check out the Election Night 2004 Adventure.
For the kind of creations that got us across the historic finish line — check out my poem and video for Where Wayward Jekylls Hyde.
For an on-the-campaign-trail adventure — check out the physical altercation I was in the middle of with Al Franken at a Howard Dean rally in ’04.
For my tribute to a great political reporter — check out my Tim Russert tribute.
For a full listing of great reporters and news sources — check out my Political Sources Primer.
For how well these sources also worked in the prior election — check out my 2008 projections — in both, I’m over 98% correct. 😉
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Brian Hassett — karmacoupon@gmail.com — BrianHassett.com
4 responses so far ↓
1 Mitch Potter // Sep 26, 2012 at 3:49 PM
Nostrahassett knows his stuff.
2 Rosemary Wright // Sep 26, 2012 at 3:50 PM
Hey Mr. Smart Man – good for you! A second term for the Prez.
3 Albert Kaufman // Sep 26, 2012 at 6:05 PM
Looks good! Am enjoying this election a lot. Looking forward to someone showing me how we get the House back, but may just have to wait until election night 🙂 Good work!
4 Brian // Sep 26, 2012 at 5:24 PM
People keep asking me about the landslide effect if there’s a massive Republican implosion.
Even if that happened, the main state that would flip would be Missouri, then maybe Arizona, South Carolina, and one of the Dakotas. And that’s it.
Even if a really big collapse occurred, with the current state breakdowns, it would only change the electoral college outcome to
380 – to – 158.
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