Brianland

This makes an excellent “program” to print out for the evening’s festivities . . . 

(all times Eastern;  all predictions as of Saturday, Nov. 1st, 2008)

And before you dive in   — click here http://thatradio.podhoster.com/index.php?sid=1399

and listen to a radio show about the election while you’re reading!  What fun!   

7:00 - - 6 states — The Bellwethers – doing their hit “Georgia & Indiana” — If McCain is doing worse than winning by 3%, he’s in trouble.  If McCain’s winning by 8% or better, it’s NOT going to be a full blow-out night. 

Dems (16) - - Virginia 13, Vermont 3

Repubs (42) - - Georgia 15, Indiana 11, South Carolina 8, Kentucky 8

7:30 - - 2 states

Dems (20)  - - Ohio 20   (20 + 16 = 36)

Repubs (5) - -  West Virginia 5 

8:00 - - 16 states - - Ahoy Missouri!      They’ve only voted correctly for the winner in every Presidential election for the last hundred freakin’ years (except, like, once).

Dems (138) - - Florida 27, Pennsylvania 21, Illinois 21, New Jersey 15, Massachusetts 12, Missouri 11 (but will be too-close-to-call until Way-later), Maryland 10, Connecticuit 7, Maine 4, New Hampshire 4, Delaware 3, D.C. 3  . . . . . . (16 + 20 + 138 = 174)

Repubs (33) - - Tennessee 11, Alabama 9, Oklahoma 7, Mississippi 6

8:30 - -  2 states

Dems: (15) - - North Carolina 15   (16 + 20 + 138 + 15 = 189) 

Repubs: (6)  - - Arkansas 6

9:00  - -  14 states - - Do the networks call it at 9:00:01? Or do they keep their powder dry till around 10?  

Dems:  (86)  - - New York 31, Michigan 17, Minnesota 10, Wisconsin 10, Colorado 9, New Mexico 5, Rhode Island 4    (86 + 189 = 275)

Repubs:  (70) Texas 34, Arizona 10, Louisiana 9, Kansas 6, Nebraska 5, South Dakota 3, Wyoming 3

10:00 - - 5 states - - Iowa could put Obama over 270.  Also, Brian’s late-steal state to watch is Montana. 

Dems: (15) Iowa 7, Nevada 5, North Dakota 3   (275 + 15 = 290)

Repubs:  (8)  Utah 5, Montana 3

11:00 - - 5 states – By in here we’ll be getting McCain’s concession speech. 

Dems:  (77) California 55, Washington 11, Oregon 7, Hawaii 4  (290 + 77 = 367)

Repubs:  (4)  Idaho 4

Roughly between 11PM and midnight will be Obama’s historic victory speech from Grant Park in Chicago. 

= = = = = =

The only three additional states that COULD go Obama if it was more of a blow-out:

Indiana 11, Georgia 15, and Montana 3 — bringing Obama up to 396. 

= = = = = = = = =

by Brian at www.BrianHassett.com 

or Karmacoupon@gmail.com